Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.822872e-05 0.000105 0.000123 0.000143 0.000166 0.000190 0.000217
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.546847e-05 0.000087 0.000111 0.000140 0.000174 0.000212 0.000256
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.284653e-05 0.000076 0.000103 0.000138 0.000179 0.000226 0.000283
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.199528e-05 0.000066 0.000096 0.000135 0.000183 0.000239 0.000309
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.550561e-05 0.000060 0.000092 0.000135 0.000189 0.000254 0.000336
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.019857e-05 0.000055 0.000089 0.000136 0.000196 0.000270 0.000364
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.547339e-05 0.000050 0.000085 0.000135 0.000201 0.000282 0.000387
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.016453e-05 0.000044 0.000079 0.000130 0.000200 0.000287 0.000402
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.782954e-05 0.000042 0.000078 0.000133 0.000208 0.000303 0.000430
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.374910e-05 0.000036 0.000071 0.000127 0.000205 0.000305 0.000440
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.193613e-05 0.000034 0.000070 0.000128 0.000211 0.000319 0.000466
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.698052e-06 0.000030 0.000067 0.000126 0.000213 0.000327 0.000483
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.350789e-06 0.000029 0.000066 0.000129 0.000222 0.000347 0.000518
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.538972e-06 0.000026 0.000064 0.000128 0.000226 0.000359 0.000543
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.775062e-06 0.000022 0.000059 0.000125 0.000226 0.000365 0.000560
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.551311e-06 0.000020 0.000056 0.000123 0.000228 0.000374 0.000581
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.662825e-06 0.000018 0.000054 0.000122 0.000231 0.000385 0.000605
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.117757e-06 0.000017 0.000053 0.000124 0.000238 0.000401 0.000635
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.499267e-06 0.000015 0.000051 0.000122 0.000241 0.000411 0.000657
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.059885e-07 0.000013 0.000047 0.000118 0.000239 0.000414 0.000669
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.860567e-07 0.000012 0.000046 0.000120 0.000246 0.000430 0.000701
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.328218e-07 0.000010 0.000042 0.000115 0.000242 0.000430 0.000709
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.155701e-07 0.000009 0.000042 0.000116 0.000248 0.000444 0.000737